π· Image Breakdown & Full Explanation:
In forex trading, identifying supply zones is crucial for successful entries and exits. A supply zone is a technical area where the price is likely to face selling pressure due to an excess of supply (sellers) over demand (buyers). This image, titled "Strength of Supply Zone," gives us a visual representation of how different price reactions from a supply zone tell us the strength of sellers.
Let’s break down each section π:
π₯ Left Side: "Price Gap Down from Zone and Strongly Moving Down"
This shows the strongest type of reaction from a supply zone.
-Visual: Large red candlesticks with a price gap after touching the supply zone.
- Interpretation: Sellers are in full control πͺ. The price doesn't hesitate — it gaps down and drops aggressively.
- Psychology: Traders recognize the supply zone as a strong resistance area. Sellers enter with confidence, and buyers retreat quickly.
- Trading Insight: This is a high-probability setup for short positions. Little to no retracement means minimal risk of being stopped out early.
π© Middle: "Price Moving Down with Big Candle and Small Retracement"
This is a moderate strength reaction.
- Visual: Price touches the supply zone, retraces slightly, and then drops with a strong red candle.
- Interpretation: Sellers are still dominant, but there’s some hesitation. Buyers attempt a small push, but sellers quickly regain control.
- Psychology: Smart money may be testing the zone or collecting more sell orders before making the move.
- Trading Insight: Still a solid entry point, especially after the retracement completes. Wait for confirmation from the big red candle.
π₯ Right Side:"Price Moving Down with Not So Much Strength"
This reaction reflects weak selling pressure.
- Visual: Price touches the supply zone but moves down slowly with small candles and no sharp drop.
- Interpretation: Sellers are present, but buyers are putting up a fight. Market is undecided.
- Psychology: Not a strong rejection. The zone may not be valid or already weakened from previous touches.
- Trading Insight: Avoid entries based on this setup alone. Look for confluence (support from other indicators or timeframes).
π― Key Takeaways:
1. Supply Zones are Not Equal
- Every supply zone doesn’t react the same way. The difference in reactions can help determine if the zone is fresh, strong, or weak.
2. Price Action is the Ultimate Signal
- The strength of the move away from a supply zone gives you more insight than just the zone itself.
3. Wait for Confirmation
- Don't rush. Observe the type of candle formations after the price hits the supply zone.
4. Combine with Other Tools
- Use trendlines, volume, RSI, or higher timeframes to strengthen your analysis.
π§ Final Thought:
The image teaches us that patience pays in forex. Just seeing a supply zone doesn’t guarantee a winning trade. What matters most is how the market reacts to that zone. Let the candles speak. Whether you see a gap down or a slow drop, each tells a story. π
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